These are some things I noticed during this season betting on MLB and, to a lesser extent, the NBA. I think these observations are mostly attached to the way I was betting. They might not be entirely true, but these are observations I will keep in mind for the future.

  1. In MLB, don’t bet the total to be under for the whole game live after seven innings if either team is in the top 10 in OPS+. Maybe betting the over is a good idea, but also not betting is OK. Taking no decision is a decision.
  2. In MLB, take the "Runs Scored Next Inning" bet after a pitcher gets out of a stressful inning. Usually, getting out of jams creates mental stress. You will want to be watching a game closely in order to make this prediction.
  3. One risky move that seems to pay: I’ve been watching NBA games where one team is being blown out in the last quarter. Then I place a bet on the +28 (or whatever the spread is, as long as it’s high like this). What I’m saying is you bet that the team will maintain their plus spread at 28 (it can be 25; it depends). Almost all the time, this type of bet hits and is a way to make a good return per day.
  4. Bet on favorites at the money line early; bet on underdogs at the money line as late as possible.
  5. When betting parlays, pick the earliest game and the latest game for Bet One; then do the opposite—bet later or live to hedge.

It's good to take notes on what works and what doesn't when sports betting, either in a personal journal or on a blog like this. History tends to repeat itself in this game.